Tagged: strategic reliability solutions

The Future of Gear Oils

According to (Industry ARC (Analytics. Research. Consulting), 2024), the global industrial gear oil market size is forecasted to reach USD 5.2 B by 2027. While the Asia-Pacific market holds a significant market share for industrial gear oils in 2021 at around 56.2%, it is interesting that its nearest rival is Europe, at 17.7% or less than ⅓ of its size.

The rise in the Asia Pacific market can be accounted for due to the increase in the rising population and, by extension, the needs of that population and the service sectors they support, including the energy, oil & gas, construction, and steel industries. The figure below depicts the global industrial gear oil market revenue share by Geography for 2021.

Figure 6: Industrial Gear Oils (Mineral & Synthetic) Market Revenue Share by Geography 2021 adapted from (Industry ARC (Analytics. Research. Consulting), 2024)
Figure 6: Industrial Gear Oils (Mineral & Synthetic) Market Revenue Share by Geography 2021 adapted from (Industry ARC (Analytics. Research. Consulting), 2024)

From the research conducted by (Industry ARC (Analytics. Research. Consulting), 2024), helical gears appear to be the most popular choice for industrial gears. Interestingly enough, synthetic gear oil held the largest market share and is forecasted to grow by a CAGR of 5.6% for the forecasted period of 2022-2027.

Smaller gearboxes are being manufactured, tasked with outperforming their previous counterparts and producing more torque in a smaller space. With the advent of better, more precise machining tools for gears, there is an increase in the amount of pressure these gears now must handle in smaller spaces.

As such, we will continue to see the rise in the use of synthetic gear lubricants formulated to handle these extreme conditions, as well as more advanced additive packages that can help minimize foaming, reduce oxidation, and aid in the demulsibility of these oils.

References

Industry ARC (Analytics. Research. Consulting). (2024, September 04). Industrial Gear Oils (Mineral & Synthetic) Market - Forecast(2024 - 2030). Retrieved from Industry ARC: https://www.industryarc.com/Report/20008/industrial-gear-oils-mineral-and-synthetic-market.html

Mang, T., & Dresel, W. (2007). Lubricants and Lubrication - Second Edition. Weinheim: WILEY-VCH GmbH & Co. KGaA.

Mang, T., Bobzin, K., & Bartels, T. (2011). Industrial Tribology - Tribosystems, Friction, Wear and Surface Engineering, Lubrication. Weinheim: WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA.

Pirro, D. M., Webster, M., & Daschner, E. (2016). Lubrication Fundamentals - Third Edition, Revised and Expanded. Boca Raton: CRC Press, Taylor & Francis Group.

Rensselar, J. v. (February 2013). Gear oils. Tribology and Lubrication Technology - STLE, 33.

Sander, J. (2020). Putting the simple back into viscosity. Retrieved from Lubrication Engineers: https://lelubricants.com/wp-content/uploads/pdf/news/White%20Papers/simple_viscosity.pdf

Santora, M. (2018, March 20). Tips on properly specifying gear oil. Retrieved from Design World: https://www.designworldonline.com/tips-on-properly-specifying-gear-oil/#:~:text=CLP%20Gear%20Oils&text=Often%2C%20a%20gear%20manufacturer%20will,a%20CLP%20polyglycol%20PAG%20oil

Gear Oil Storage and Handling

Similar to most oils, gear oils should be stored in a clean and dry space. Often (especially in the past), these gear oils see a settling of the additives to the bottom of the container, indicating a slightly shorter oil life span than other lubricants. However, this is no longer a highly occurring incident with the advancements in additive technology and improved blending practices.

As usual, it is always best to adhere to the OEM’s expiry dates for these products, as different OEMs recommend varying storage times for their products. Generally, synthetic lubricants have an estimated shelf life of 5-10 years, while mineral oils usually last for around 2-3 years, but this is heavily dependent on the OEM and storage conditions.

In some cases, customers tend to store these drums outside in the elements as it makes it easier for them to be readily accessible for decanting into the equipment. However, in these environments, the drums can collect water, which will enter the oil and then, by extension, enter the gearbox. This can cause issues for the equipment and lead to accelerated oil degradation.

Ideally, these oils should be stored in a cool, dry place with ready access to decanting equipment where the decanted oil will not be easily contaminated. Many industrial gearboxes typically require larger quantities of oil, and decanting can take place directly from the drum into the equipment or via a pump.

In these cases, the level of contamination must be minimized by ensuring that the fittings, hoses, etc., are clean and have not been used to decant other types of oils.

Degradation of Gear Oils

The first set of additives to decrease in gear oils is often the antiwear or extreme pressure additives. This is no surprise, as these oils are subjected to high levels of wear and must withstand extreme pressures. One can also notice a decline in the rust and oxidation additives or even a change in the air release values.

 

All these properties significantly impact how a gear oil functions. As such, they should be monitored when establishing the health of the oil.

When monitoring the health of these lubricants, some guidelines can be utilized. If there is a change in viscosity of either ±10%, one should look for any other correlating changes.

Typically, if the viscosity increases by 10%, we’re looking at increases in wear metals or the risk of oxidation and development of some deposits in the oil or even contamination of the oil with some water. However, for a decline of 10%, one can expect some form of contamination, typically fuel or another substance which will thin out the lubricant.

The lubricant’s warning levels for wear metals will vary depending on the manufacturer/OEM. However, any consistent rise in wear metals indicates that some component on the inside of the equipment is slowly wearing away.

Gear Oil Characteristics and Naming Systems

From the information covered thus far, we can appreciate that gear oils need to accommodate many changes to their environment. A few characteristics stand out when looking at industrial gear oils (Mang, Bobzin, & Bartels, Industrial Tribology—Tribosystems, Friction, Wear and Surface Engineering, Lubrication, 2011).

These include viscosity-temperature, Fluid Shear Stability, Corrosion and Rust Protection, Oxidation Stability, Demulsibility and Water Separation, Air release, Paint Compatibility, Seal Compatibility, Foaming, Environmental, and Skin Compatibility.

Depending on where you are in the world, you may use a different system to classify gear oils. The ISO Viscosity grade system is used internationally, but the AGMA (American Gear Manufacturer’s Association) system is used in the Americas and some parts of Asia. A chart can be used to move that across these grading systems, as shown below in Figure 5.

Figure 5: Various gear oil grading systems as adopted from (Sander, 2020)
Figure 5: Various gear oil grading systems as adopted from (Sander, 2020)

As per (Sander, 2020), the AGMA numbers have some particular meanings as stated:

  • No additional letters (only a number) – Contains only R&O additives
  • EP – Mineral oil with Extreme Pressure additives
  • S – Synthetic gear oil
  • Comp – Compounded gear oil (3-10% fatty or synthetic fatty oils)
  • R – Residual compounds called diluent solvents which reduce the viscosity to make it easier to apply

Another rating that is seen a lot is the CLP rating. This is a German oil standard defined by ASTM DIN 51517-3, in which the test requirements to meet the CLP specification are documented.

This DIN standard covers petroleum-based gear lubricants with additives designed to improve rust protection, oxidation resistance, and EP protection. Some typical classifications seen are CLP-M (which represents mineral gear oil), CLP HC (which represents synthetic oils [SHC, PAO, POE]), and CLP PG (which represents polyglycol PAGs), according to (Santora, 2018).

There are three main DIN 51517 classifications as per (Rensselar February 2013), namely;

  • DIN 51517 CGLP – contains additives that protect from corrosion, oxidation, and wear at the mixed friction spots and additives that improve the characteristics of sliding surfaces
  • DIN51517-3 CLP – contains additives that protect against corrosion, oxidation, and wear in the mixed friction zone
  • DIN 51517-2 CL – contains additives that protect against corrosion and oxidation suitable for average load conditions

The above are some of the more prevalent naming systems for industrial gear oils, and they are found on most gear oils globally.

Is there more than one type of gear?

Gears are used in all aspects of life, from bicycles to tiny watch gears, car transmissions, and even highly specialized surgical equipment. Gears keep the world moving. However, when they move, they often rub against each other, and if this friction is not managed, it can cause wear and eventually lead to significant damage or failure. This is where gear oil makes a difference.

In this article, we will explore the various types of gear lubricants, their composition, how they degrade, some storage and handling tips, and what the future holds for these types of oils.

Figure 1: Different types of gears according to (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007) Chapter 10
Figure 1: Different types of gears according to (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007) Chapter 10

If you’re familiar with gears, you know that despite the standard emoji keyboard, more than one type of gear exists. There are several types of gears, each suited for various applications. As such, each application will have varying environmental conditions, which will require specialized lubricants to reduce friction and wear.

One of the main operational conditions for gears is the transfer of torque. Even when torque is transferred, gears will have sliding and rolling contact, leading to frictional losses and heat generation. Therefore, the lubricants selected for these applications must be able to significantly reduce these frictional losses and cool the gears.

As per (Pirro, Webster, & Daschner, 2016), several types of gears can be classed into three groups based on the interaction of the teeth of these gears and the types of fluid films formed between the areas of contact:

  • Spur, Bevel, Helical, Herringbone, and spiral bevel
  • Worm gears and
  • Hypoid gears

Figure 1 shows some of the types of gears which exist.

It must be noted that hypoid gears transmit motion between nonintersecting shafts at a right angle. Additionally, there is a difference between rolling and sliding.

Rolling indicates continuous movement, whereas sliding varies from a maximum velocity in one direction at the start of the mesh through zero velocity at the pitch line and then back to maximum velocity in the opposite direction at the end of the mesh, as seen in Figure 2.

According to Mang, Bobzin, and Bartels (Industrial Tribology—Tribosystems, Friction, Wear and Surface Engineering, Lubrication, 2011), hypoid gears require heavily loaded lubricants. These should have high oxidation stability, good scuffing, scoring, and wear capacity, as the tooth contacts have a high load.

The lubricant must also have a high viscosity at operating temperature such that the formed film can sufficiently support the load while cooling the gears.

Conversely, hydrodynamic gears such as torque converters, hydrodynamic wet clutches, or retarders require high oxidation stability characteristics but do not need good scuffing or scoring load capacity characteristics. Unlike hypoid gears, hydrodynamic gears experience viscosity-dependent losses, so they must have a lower viscosity at operating temperature.

Figure 2: Meshing of involute gear teeth. These photographs show the progression of rolling and sliding as a pair of involute gear teeth (a commonly used design) pass through mesh. The amount of sliding can be seen from the relative positions of the numbered marks on the teeth adapted from (Pirro, Webster, & Daschner, 2016), Chapter 8.
Figure 2: Meshing of involute gear teeth. These photographs show the progression of rolling and sliding as a pair of involute gear teeth (a commonly used design) pass through mesh. The amount of sliding can be seen from the relative positions of the numbered marks on the teeth adapted from (Pirro, Webster, & Daschner, 2016), Chapter 8.

According to (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007), there are some frequent failure criteria for gears and transmissions, including:

  • Extreme abrasive wear
  • Early endurance failure, fatigue of components in the form of micropitting and pitting
  • Scuffing and scoring of the friction contact areas

Continuous abrasive wear is usually observed at low circumferential speeds and during mixed and boundary lubrication. Typically, continued wear can cause damage that extends to the middle sector of the tooth flank. Understandably, lubricants with a high viscosity and a balanced quantity of antiwear additives promote a higher tolerance to wear.

Micropitting can be observed on tooth flanks at all speed ranges. Those with rough surfaces are prime candidates for micropitting. Typically, this develops in negative sliding velocities or the slip area below the pitch circle.

Usually, microscopic, minor fatigue fractures occur first, which can lead to further follow-up damage such as pitting, wear, or even tooth fractures. A lubricant with a sufficiently high viscosity and a suitable additive system can help reduce this type of fatigue.

At predominantly high or medium circumferential speeds, scuffing and scoring of the tooth flanks occur, and the contacting surfaces can weld together for a short time. Due to the high sliding velocity, this weld usually breaks, causing scuffing and scoring.

Typically, this damage is seen on the corresponding flank areas at the tooth tip and root, which experience high sliding velocity. In this case, lubricants with higher EP (Extreme Pressure) additives can help reduce this damage.

According to (Ludwig Jr & McGuire, March 2019), the type of gear can aid in determining the most appropriate industrial gear oil. The following table is an adaptation from the article:

Table 1: Gear type and appropriate lubricant adapted from (Ludwig Jr & McGuire, March 2019)
Table 1: Gear type and appropriate lubricant adapted from (Ludwig Jr & McGuire, March 2019)

As per (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007), transmission gears can be broken down into two main types: those with a constant gear ratio and those with a variable gear ratio. These can be seen in Figures 3 and 4 below.

Figure 3: Gears with a constant gear ratio adapted from (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007), Chapter 10
Figure 3: Gears with a constant gear ratio adapted from (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007), Chapter 10
Figure 4: Gears with a variable gear ratio adapted from (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007), Chapter 10
Figure 4: Gears with a variable gear ratio adapted from (Mang & Dresel, Lubricants and Lubrication – Second Edition, 2007), Chapter 10

Is Oil analysis still relevant today?

With the many advancements in Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning and the advent of countless different sensors on the market, the question arises, “Is Oil Analysis still relevant today?”. Granted that these advancements have significantly transformed the industry, we need to recognize that they are here to help evolve what we already do and not necessary replace it.

These advancements build upon the foundations of the techniques of oil analysis. With artificial intelligence and machine learning, we can train models to interpret oil analysis data and trigger alerts accordingly but there should always be a human present to overview these. In the real world, not every situation has occurred or been recorded yet hence the models do not have that particular data to learn from nor can they make decisions about it since it simply doesn’t exist in their “brain”.

Humans can “think outside the box” and formulate patterns or trends which may not be triggered by the models simply because these models have not been taught these patterns. Hence it is important to always have a human in the loop and not rely solely on these models especially when million-dollar decisions can be negatively initiated with the wrong interpretations.

Lately, sensors have gained more traction and a wider adoption as they can be integrated into warning systems to alert users to potential deviation from known characteristics of the oil. However, as noted above, sensors rely on data sets to compare the information and on some form of capacitance which must be converted into a signal before it can be interpreted.

With lab equipment performing the actual tests, there is a higher rate of accuracy plus the added advantage of having humans review the results for discrepancies before sending off the report. While sensors can be the first warning system for some users, lab equipment should be utilized for those more precise tests which require a higher level of accuracy.

In essence, oil analysis remains very relevant today. However, it has significantly evolved over the last few decades. Today, oil analysis can achieve a higher efficiency level with the integration of the advancements in technology (AI, machine learning and sensors) and other available monitoring technologies. Together, these should all be used to create a greater impact on improving the reliability of the machines.

 

Find the full article here on Engineering Maintenance Solutions Magazine.

Oil analysis vs Other technologies

Just as oil analysis is similar to blood testing, we can think of our bodies as a critical machine with various components which need to be monitored. If we get a fractured bone, a blood test will not help us to assess if the bone is broken or can be repaired. In this case, we may need an x-ray. Similarly, with machines, there are various types of tests to determine different aspects to be monitored.

Typically, oil analysis can provide the operator with insight into whether there has been any internal damage to the equipment in the form of wear particles which can be quantified. As with most condition monitoring methods, being able to trend the patterns over time helps the operators to identify if wear is occurring at an increased rate or whether the oil is degrading.

On the other hand, other technologies such as vibration analysis or ultrasound analysis or even thermography are not able to detect the presence of molecules. These other types of analyses focus on alignment, or other mechanical issues as they occur and can trend them over time. However, oil analysis can accurately detect the presence or absence of contaminants or additive packages which could affect the health of the oil and by extension that of the machine.

Oil analysis should not be used as the only technology in your condition monitoring artillery. Other technologies can be used alongside oil analysis to provide the user with a more comprehensive overview of the health of the asset. For instance, if the oil analysis discovered high wear, the next step would be to identify where the wear was coming from. Perhaps in this case, one of the other technologies could identify a misalignment or other mechanical issue which could be the source of this wear. Thus, these technologies should be used to work together to achieve better reliability for their asset owners.

Find the full article here on Engineering Maintenance Solutions Magazine.

Why oil analysis?

The P-F curve is one that is used throughout reliability to demonstrate the point at which a component is expected to have a functional failure. There are many variations of the PF curve, and different monitoring technologies can be placed in specific orders accordingly. However, it remains dominant that oil analysis is among the top three techniques used for early detection of failure.

Oil analysis can be used to detect the presence of contaminants, metals and other molecules at a microscopic level and quantify these appropriately. Most OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) publish their acceptable standards for various tests (usually standardized tests by some accredited body such as ASTM) and have these available to laboratories around the world. When an oil analysis test is performed (as per the stipulated standards), the lab will compare the actual values to the expected values (from the OEM) and then provide some guidance to the user on possible steps forward.

Every lab will have a specific format for reporting the results of your oil analysis (similar to the labs for reporting on blood samples). Typically, the actual value is shown and then there may be an expected range for the various characteristics or just an indication of whether the actual value falls outside of the range (on the higher or lower end of the scale).

Bureau Veritas, 2017, gives an example of a report and all of the variables involved here:

BV_Understanding-An-Oil-Analysis-Report_FINAL_11_8_2017

 

While this is their reporting standard, other labs will have a different format, but the tests will all conform to the same internationally recognized standard. As such, if oil is tested in the United States (as per a particular standard) and then tested in Italy (as per the same standard) then there can be some comparisons of these results. However, one must also be aware of the types of instruments being used and their calibration as this can account for slight differences in test results.  As such, oil analysis provides a global standard for which equipment performance can be compared across regions.

Find the full article here on Engineering Maintenance Solutions Magazine.

What is oil analysis?

For those not familiar with oil analysis, it can be likened to performing blood tests for the human body. Oil in our machines is often compared to the blood in our bodies. Blood circulates throughout the body taking important blood cells with food and oxygen in it to the various organs, similarly oils follow this behaviour. However, oils transport additives which provide varying functions including reducing wear or friction or even preventing corrosion or oxidation to name a few.

When performing a blood test, we can test for a few things; the overall condition of the organs or we can test for specific things such as the presence of bad cholesterol. With oils, we do a very similar practice where we can test for the overall health of the machine or pinpoint exact components and look for distinct changes which are reflected in the characteristics of the oil.

Basically, oil analysis can help you to determine the condition of your oil (if it is degrading or if the additives have depleted such that it no longer protects the equipment) and the health of your asset as the oil can reflect if there is wear occurring in the components. As such, it can provide very useful information to help operators and maintenance personnel to plan effectively for any type of maintenance to be done on the components.

 

Find the full article here on Engineering Maintenance Solutions Magazine.

What are some innovations and future trends of Viscosity Index Improvers?

Innovations in Viscosity Index Improvers

As per Mortier, Fox, & Orszulik (2010), the three most important commercial VII families represent critical commercial techniques for manufacturing high molecular weight polymers. These are polymethacrylates produced by free radical chemistry, olefin copolymers produced by Ziegler chemistry, and hydrogenated styrene-diene or copolymers produced by anionic polymerization. While they are critical, these formulations will not be discussed in detail in this article, but we will take a look at some of the innovations within this space.

PARATONE®a, a family of viscosity index improvers currently belonging to Chevron Oronite, boasts of having developed the first Olefin Copolymer VII (Mid Continental Chemical Company Inc, 2024). However, upon further investigation, it must be noted that Exxon Chemicals was the original developer behind this product. Back in 1998, Oronite Additives, a division of Chevron Chemical Co. LLC, acquired the assets of Exxon Chemical’s Paratone crankcase olefin copolymer (OCP) Viscosity Index Improver Business (Chevron Chemical Co. LLC, 1988).

This particular Viscosity Index Improver has seen developments since the 1970s and offers solid and liquid VIIs for companies to include in their formulations (Chevron Oronite, 2024). It also allows improved formulating flexibility for developers, which can significantly reduce the costs involved or specialized base stocks depending on the product to be made. This is just one company that specializes in producing VIIs for the wider global market.

There are many other companies that have innovated in the Viscosity Index Improver space, but most of this work is patented as it involves heavy-balanced formulations. Other companies have also innovated on the production side of the VIIs by engineering equipment that can help produce a higher-quality VII.

Future Trends

(Future Market Insights, 2024) estimates the Viscosity Index Improver market will be USD 4.06B in 2024 and will increase to USD 5.39B by 2034. Additionally, in 2024, vehicle lubricants account for around 51.6% of the VII market. This is not just limited to the multigrade oils but includes transmission fluids, greases, and other oils. On the other hand, with the move towards more sustainable oils, Ethylene propylene Copolymer (OCP) is projected at a 30.4% industry share in 2024. Given the move towards more sustainable products, this is expected to increase.

If we take a global view of the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) per country to 2034, we can find some interesting facts. The United States shows a CAGR of 1.6%, with a heavy allocation towards more vehicle engine oil use and the manufacturing sector for pharmaceuticals and chemicals. On the other hand, Spain is projected to see a CAGR of 2.2% with auto manufacturers and power generation equipment (hydraulic oils, turbine oils, and greases).

Venturing to China, they have a CAGR of 3.2% due to the increased number of vehicles and significant industrialization. Their involvement in complex machinery will also drive this growth. The United Kingdom is positioned to see a CAGR of 1.1% resulting from its rise in high-performance engines and heavy industrialization. On the other hand, India should experience a CAGR of 4.3% with its high demand for industrial production, commerce, and automobiles.

Figure 2: CAGR% per country to 2034
Figure 2: CAGR% per country to 2034
  • With these positive CAGRs, it is conclusive that there will be a lot of growth within the VII industry. (Future Market Insights, 2024) also list some of the recent developments in the VII Market, which include:
  • In July 2023, Chevron Phillips Chemical announced a capacity expansion of its VII productions to meet the increasing demand for VIIs in the automotive and industrial sectors.
  • In April 2023, Lubrizol introduced a new line of viscosity index improvers (VIIs) for automotive lubricants, claiming to offer enhanced performance, including improved oxidation and thermal stability.
  • In March 2023, ABB completed the Marunda 2.0 oil blending plant extension project, doubling production capacity within three years despite challenges during the pandemic.
  • In October 2022, LCY Chemical Corp., a Taiwanese material science company, showcased its thermoplastic elastomer portfolio at K 2022. It highlighted its innovative approach to material science for a sustainable future, backed by a global distribution network.
  • In August 2022, Evonik’s Oil Additives division in CIS countries partnered with ADCO to enhance the energy productivity and effectiveness of industrial lubricants for construction, agriculture, mining, and manufacturing equipment.

From this, the future of Viscosity Index Improvers can only be enhanced by several of the major key players expanding their operations and innovating their creations to adapt to ever-evolving standards/guidelines set by OEMs and governments. As new regulations emerge regarding improved efficiency, increased oxidation stability, and thermal stability for lubricants, VII developers will be challenged to innovate new solutions for the lubricants to conform.

References

Chevron Chemical Co. LLC. (1988, October 08). Oronite Additives Acquires Exxon’s Paratone Viscosity Improver. Retrieved from Pharmaceutical Online: https://www.pharmaceuticalonline.com/doc/oronite-additives-acquires-exxons-paratone-vi-0001

Chevron Oronite. (2024, June 29). PARATONE® viscosity modifiers. Retrieved from Oronite: https://www.oronite.com/products-technology/paratone-products.html

Future Market Insights. (2024, April 15). Viscosity Index Improver Market Forecast by Vehicle and Industrial Lubricant for 2024 to 2034. Retrieved from Future Market Insights: https://www.futuremarketinsights.com/reports/viscosity-index-improvers-market

Gresham, R. M., & Totten, G. E. (2006). Lubrication and Maintenance of Industrial Machinery – Best Practices and Reliability. Boca Raton: CRC Press.

Mid Continental Chemical Company Inc. (2024, June 29). Viscosity Modifiers / Viscosity Improvers. Retrieved from Mid-Continental Chemical Company: https://www.mcchemical.com/lubricant-additives/viscosity-index-improvers

Mortier, R. M., Fox, M. F., & Orszulik, S. T. (2010). Chemistry and Technology of Lubricants – Third Edition. Dordrecht: Springer.